TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Z. Sonmez vs E. Jacquemot (Eastbourne on 2026-06-21) — the market is efficient, with Z. Sonmez favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Sonmez | E. Jacquemot |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.6% | 34.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.9% | 26.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.1% | 41.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.5% | 34.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Sonmez | hard | 1722 | 95–68 | 163 |
| E. Jacquemot | hard | 1619 | 102–82 | 184 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Z. Sonmez leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 21, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | Z. Sonmez | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 1, 2024 | WTA Merida | hard | Z. Sonmez | 2 - 0 |
| W | R. Marino | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Brace | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | C. Liu | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | I. D. Amariei | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 21, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used