TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Llamas Ruiz vs T. A. Tirante (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with T. A. Tirante favoured at 1.78.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Llamas Ruiz | T. A. Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.9% | 40.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.7% | 36.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.2% | 54.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Llamas Ruiz | clay | 1792 | 152–76 | 228 |
| T. A. Tirante | clay | 1806 | 156–120 | 276 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 5, 2026.
T. A. Tirante leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | T. A. Tirante | 3 - 1 |
| Sept. 14, 2025 | Szczecin | clay | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Giron | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Rice | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Kuzuhara | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Tabilo | Walk Over | July 17, 2026 |
| W | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Marozsan | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used