TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in O. Selekhmeteva vs R. Masarova (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with R. Masarova favoured at 1.73.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Selekhmeteva | R. Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.9% | 49.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.1% | 48.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.8% | 48.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.2% | 54.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Selekhmeteva | clay | 1627 | 102–59 | 161 |
| R. Masarova | hard | 1641 | 85–62 | 147 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
R. Masarova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Rome | clay | R. Masarova | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Ito | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Yaneva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Vandromme | 2 - 0 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | Y. Kotliar | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | V. Ryser | 1 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | C. Monnet | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Curmi | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | J. Grabher | 1 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used