TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Borges vs M. Cilic (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with M. Cilic favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Borges | M. Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
21.1% | 78.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
16.1% | 83.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
34.0% | 66.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
23.7% | 76.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.4% | 52.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | M. Cilic | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 7, 2026 | Hong Kong | hard | N. Borges | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | O. Luz | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | S. Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 2 - 1 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 1 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used