TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Mannarino vs A. Rinderknech (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with A. Rinderknech favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Mannarino | A. Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
71.5% | 28.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.4% | 25.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.3% | 36.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
69.7% | 30.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.0% | 57.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mannarino | hard | 1711 | 105–111 | 216 |
| A. Rinderknech | hard | 1775 | 126–102 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
A. Mannarino leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 11, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | A. Mannarino | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 7, 2024 | Montreal | hard | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 28, 2023 | ATP Astana | hard | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 9, 2022 | Montreal | hard | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Galarneau | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | R. Bertola | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | S. Baez | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Damm | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used