TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Majchrzak vs J. McCabe (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with K. Majchrzak favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Majchrzak | J. McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.4% | 46.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
54.5% | 45.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
25.6% | 74.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.2% | 31.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Majchrzak | hard | 1740 | 93–57 | 150 |
| J. McCabe | hard | 1553 | 154–113 | 267 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
K. Majchrzak leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 11, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 0 |
| June 3, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 0 |
| L | G. Monfils | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used