TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Sakkari vs M. Chwalinska (French Open on 2026-05-30) — the market is efficient, with M. Chwalinska favoured at 1.86.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sakkari | M. Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.5% | 40.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.8% | 50.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.6% | 52.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sakkari | hard | 1846 | 109–78 | 187 |
| M. Chwalinska | clay | 1841 | 113–59 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 1 |
| May 6, 2025 | Rome | clay | M. Sakkari | 2 - 1 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Parks | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | H. Dart | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Linette | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Shnaider | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 0 - 2 | June 3, 2026 |
All May 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used