TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Berrettini vs F. Comesana (French Open on 2026-05-30) — the market is efficient, with M. Berrettini favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Berrettini | F. Comesana |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.1% | 32.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.9% | 57.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.0% | 42.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Berrettini | hard | 1804 | 70–53 | 123 |
| F. Comesana | clay | 1706 | 184–101 | 285 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
M. Berrettini leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 |
| L | M. Navone | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 3 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Wawrinka | 1 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Arnaldi | 0 - 1 | June 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Donald | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
All May 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used