TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Navone vs J. Brooksby (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with M. Navone favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Navone | J. Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
86.7% | 13.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.5% | 26.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
70.0% | 29.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
76.7% | 23.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Navone | clay | 1815 | 195–108 | 303 |
| J. Brooksby | hard | 1729 | 86–55 | 141 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
M. Navone leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Navone | 3 - 0 |
| W | M. Berrettini | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | J-L. Struff | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Muller | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used