TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kukushkin vs D. Dzumhur (Mallorca on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with M. Kukushkin favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kukushkin | D. Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.9% | 60.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.2% | 66.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.5% | 41.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.2% | 53.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.4% | 48.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kukushkin | hard | 1631 | 131–100 | 231 |
| D. Dzumhur | clay | 1693 | 110–83 | 193 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 6, 2026.
D. Dzumhur leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | D. Dzumhur | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 14, 2019 | Rotterdam | hard | D. Dzumhur | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | May 6, 2026 |
| W | T. Zhang | 2 - 0 | May 4, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 0 - 2 | April 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | H. Gaston | 0 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used