TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Shevchenko vs A. Shelbayh (Mallorca on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with A. Shevchenko favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Shevchenko | A. Shelbayh |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
83.7% | 16.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.4% | 24.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.8% | 35.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
71.3% | 28.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shevchenko | clay | 1681 | 128–89 | 217 |
| A. Shelbayh | hard | 1619 | 118–75 | 193 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
A. Shelbayh leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | A. Shelbayh | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Rottgering | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Sheehy | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used