TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Walton vs F. Bondioli (Mallorca on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with A. Walton favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Walton | F. Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.7% | 52.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.4% | 41.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
79.2% | 20.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Walton | hard | 1748 | 206–117 | 323 |
| F. Bondioli | clay | 1592 | 75–70 | 145 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
A. Walton leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | A. Walton | 2 - 0 |
| W | J. Boulais | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Svrcina | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Kokkinakis | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Bicknell | 1 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Fuele | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Nagal | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | G. I. Justo | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | A. Guillen Meza | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used