TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Romano vs M. Cassone (Mallorca on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with F. Romano favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Romano | M. Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.0% | 47.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
65.6% | 34.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.0% | 47.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.8% | 39.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Romano | clay | 1416 | 46–55 | 101 |
| M. Cassone | hard | 1586 | 94–71 | 165 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
M. Cassone leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | M. Cassone | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Recek | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | O. Virtanen | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. E. Galan | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Bailly | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Basing | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | H. Wendelken | 0 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | P. Sekulic | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | B. Bicknell | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | T. Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used