TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kubka vs A. Falei (Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with A. Falei favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kubka | A. Falei |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.8% | 63.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.3% | 62.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.5% | 62.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
M. Kubka leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification | hard | M. Kubka | 1 - 0 |
| W | T. Kostovic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Mikulskyte | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | K. Pavlova | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | H. Shi | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Noel | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | U. Radwanska | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | V. Valdmannova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Penickova | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Kubareva | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used