TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Jorge vs J. Teichmann (Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with J. Teichmann favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Jorge | J. Teichmann |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.8% | 67.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.1% | 66.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.6% | 71.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
26.8% | 73.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jorge | hard | 1479 | 83–93 | 176 |
| J. Teichmann | clay | 1710 | 75–49 | 124 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 8, 2026.
J. Teichmann leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification | hard | J. Teichmann | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Gallardo Guevara | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | C. Noel | 1 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 0 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | H. Inoue | 2 - 0 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | V. Podrez | 0 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | R. Masarova | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | B. Palicova | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Jorge | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used