TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Mladenovic vs V. Ryser (Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with V. Ryser favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Mladenovic | V. Ryser |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.3% | 49.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.5% | 58.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.3% | 57.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.4% | 64.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.0% | 71.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mladenovic | hard | 1477 | 87–84 | 171 |
| V. Ryser | hard | 1572 | 135–93 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 24, 2026.
V. Ryser leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification | hard | V. Ryser | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Lemaitre | 1 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | V. Ryser | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 0 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | T. J. Brockmann | 2 - 0 | April 14, 2026 |
| L | C. A. Herea | 2 - 0 | April 9, 2026 |
| L | V. Valdmannova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Noel | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | U. Radwanska | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Salvadori | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used