TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Kulikova vs M. Hontama (Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with M. Hontama favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Kulikova | M. Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
31.2% | 68.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.5% | 52.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.7% | 70.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.0% | 71.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kulikova | hard | 1524 | 154–99 | 253 |
| M. Hontama | hard | 1597 | 153–123 | 276 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
A. Kulikova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification | hard | A. Kulikova | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Akli | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | K. Collins | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Broadus | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | O. Lincer | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Frodin | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Inglis | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | J. Lu | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | K. Day | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used