TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Q. Zheng +2.5 (game handicap) at 1.93 in M. Keys vs Q. Zheng (US Open on 2026-09-05). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Keys | Q. Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
24.7% | 75.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.5% | 41.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 5, 2026.
Q. Zheng leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 5, 2026 | US Open | hard | Q. Zheng | 2 - 1 |
| March 22, 2026 | Miami | hard | Q. Zheng | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 2, 2023 | WTA Washington | hard | M. Keys | 2 - 0 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 1 - 2 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 2 - 1 | Aug. 21, 2026 |
| W | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 1 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | M. Keys | 1 - 2 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Liutova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
All Sept. 5, 2026 results & picks →