TennisEdge's AI bot is backing B. Bonzi (moneyline) at 2.80 in K. Khachanov vs B. Bonzi (US Open on 2026-09-05). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Khachanov | B. Bonzi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.3% | 50.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
52.3% | 47.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.7% | 36.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.9% | 41.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.2% | 32.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1849 | 137–93 | 230 |
| B. Bonzi | hard | 1749 | 175–102 | 277 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 4, 2026.
K. Khachanov leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 5, 2026 | US Open | hard | K. Khachanov | 3 - 0 |
| Jan. 19, 2022 | Australian Open | hard | K. Khachanov | 3 - 0 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 1 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Bublik | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 1 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
All Sept. 5, 2026 results & picks →