TennisEdge's AI bot is backing C. Bucsa +6.5 (game handicap) at 2.38 in C. Bucsa vs C. Gauff (US Open on 2026-09-05). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Bucsa | C. Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
10.2% | 89.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
10.7% | 89.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
70.1% | 29.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
24.6% | 75.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
8.7% | 91.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 28, 2026.
C. Gauff leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 5, 2026 | US Open | hard | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 |
| March 11, 2023 | WTA Indian Wells | hard | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Yastremska | 2 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | X. Sun | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 0 - 2 | Oct. 7, 2026 |
| W | X. Sun | 2 - 0 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
All Sept. 5, 2026 results & picks →