TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Kecmanovic (moneyline) in M. Kecmanovic vs F. Marozsan (Mallorca on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kecmanovic | F. Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.9% | 43.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.0% | 67.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.2% | 25.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.7% | 45.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.5% | 49.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kecmanovic | grass | 1585 | 13–20 | 33 |
| F. Marozsan | grass | 1625 | 10–13 | 23 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 29, 2026.
F. Marozsan leads 4–1 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 26, 2026 | Winston-Salem | hard | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 |
| June 25, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 |
| June 16, 2026 | Halle | grass | F. Marozsan | 2 - 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Kecmanovic | 3 - 0 |
| June 16, 2025 | Halle | grass | F. Marozsan | 2 - 1 |
| L | H. Rune | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | T. Machac | Walk Over | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorger | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | Sept. 27, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →