TennisEdge's AI bot is backing V. Kopriva (moneyline) in E. Quinn vs V. Kopriva (Mallorca on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Quinn | V. Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.9% | 45.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.2% | 36.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Quinn | hard | 1803 | 112–77 | 189 |
| V. Kopriva | clay | 1729 | 139–96 | 235 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 22, 2026.
E. Quinn leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | E. Quinn | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 18, 2025 | Vienna | hard | E. Quinn | 2 - 1 |
| June 22, 2025 | Mallorca | grass | E. Quinn | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 2, 2025 | Canberra | hard | E. Quinn | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | June 27, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Galarneau | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Prizmic | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Choinski | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Quinn | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
The consensus model identifies a 5.3% edge on V. Kopriva, driven primarily by the ELO model assessing Quinn's win probability at just 45.0% compared to the market's 66.7%. While the ML model aligns with the market, the market trend indicates 'chasing' of Quinn's recent form, creating a potential overpricing inefficiency. Qualitative analysis supports this: Quinn has logged significantly more court time (7h 25m) and sets (12) in the last two weeks compared to Kopriva (4h 17m), entering this match with higher fatigue. Despite Quinn being the likely winner, the odds offer value on the fresher underdog.