TennisEdge's AI bot is backing G. Dimitrov (moneyline) in G. Dimitrov vs A. Davidovich Fokina (Mallorca on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Dimitrov | A. Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.9% | 36.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.6% | 49.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.3% | 31.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.3% | 60.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dimitrov | grass | 1807 | 23–11 | 34 |
| A. Davidovich Fokina | grass | 1796 | 22–15 | 37 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 6, 2026.
A. Davidovich Fokina leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 0 |
| April 16, 2022 | Monte Carlo | clay | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 2 - 1 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | E. Butvilas | 0 - 2 | Sept. 22, 2026 |
| L | H. Rune | 2 - 1 | Sept. 19, 2026 |
| W | E. Moller | 1 - 2 | Sept. 18, 2026 |
| W | R. Jodar | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Gea | 0 - 0 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →