TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Darderi (moneyline) in L. Darderi vs N. Borges (Mallorca on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Darderi | N. Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.4% | 49.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.6% | 44.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.8% | 60.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.6% | 51.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.7% | 60.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Darderi | grass | 1501 | 7–14 | 21 |
| N. Borges | grass | 1663 | 15–18 | 33 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 29, 2026.
N. Borges leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 8, 2026 | Montreal | hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 |
| July 17, 2026 | Bastad | clay | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 |
| June 25, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | N. Borges | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 5, 2025 | Auckland | hard | N. Borges | 2 - 1 |
| April 15, 2022 | Barletta | clay | N. Borges | 2 - 1 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →