TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Korneeva vs F. Tian (Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with A. Korneeva favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Korneeva | F. Tian |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
81.1% | 18.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.2% | 29.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
80.0% | 20.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
79.5% | 20.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Korneeva | hard | 1826 | 106–32 | 138 |
| F. Tian | hard | 1526 | 95–48 | 143 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Korneeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification | hard | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | S. Broadus | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Collins | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Hesse | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | V. Turini | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | B. Thompson | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used