TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Giron (moneyline) in M. Giron vs A. Zverev (Wimbledon on 2026-07-04).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Giron | A. Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
23.0% | 77.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.8% | 78.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
11.8% | 88.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
15.1% | 84.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
6.9% | 93.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.
A. Zverev leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 4, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 |
| June 18, 2025 | Halle | grass | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 23, 2024 | ATP Vienna | hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| July 4, 2024 | ATP Wimbledon | grass | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 |
| L | A. Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Kasnikowski | 2 - 1 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | C. Chidekh | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | J. Boulais | 2 - 1 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Dietrich | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Fery | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All July 4, 2026 results & picks →