TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Fucsovics vs M. Berrettini (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with M. Berrettini favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Fucsovics | M. Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.1% | 63.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.7% | 63.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.0% | 60.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fucsovics | hard | 1755 | 95–76 | 171 |
| M. Berrettini | hard | 1804 | 70–53 | 123 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
M. Berrettini leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Berrettini | 3 - 1 |
| Oct. 21, 2024 | ATP Vienna | hard | M. Berrettini | 2 - 0 |
| July 1, 2024 | ATP Wimbledon | grass | M. Berrettini | 3 - 1 |
| March 17, 2018 | Irving | hard | M. Berrettini | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Moutet | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 3 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | L. van Assche | 0 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | M. Navone | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 3 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Wawrinka | 1 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Arnaldi | 0 - 1 | June 3, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used