TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Frech vs G. Ruse (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with G. Ruse favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Frech | G. Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
31.7% | 68.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.9% | 60.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
38.0% | 62.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
G. Ruse leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Frech | 1 - 0 |
| March 20, 2025 | Miami | hard | G. Ruse | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 11, 2022 | Sydney | hard | G. Ruse | 2 - 1 |
| W | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Stearns | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | C. McNally | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | E. Navarro | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used