TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bouzkova vs K. Siniakova (Strasbourg on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with K. Siniakova favoured at 1.79.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bouzkova | K. Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.7% | 38.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.6% | 36.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.2% | 41.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.2% | 38.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.0% | 53.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouzkova | hard | 1747 | 128–86 | 214 |
| K. Siniakova | hard | 1822 | 101–77 | 178 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Strasbourg | clay | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 22, 2023 | WTA Nanchang | hard | K. Siniakova | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Valentova | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | R. Masarova | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used