TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bassols vs E. Arango (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with M. Bassols favoured at 1.90.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bassols | E. Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.6% | 41.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.5% | 27.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.5% | 49.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bassols | hard | 1563 | 105–80 | 185 |
| E. Arango | clay | 1556 | 69–65 | 134 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
M. Bassols leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | L. Boisson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | T. Zidansek | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | L. Nilsson | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used