TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Samsonova vs J. Teichmann (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with L. Samsonova favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Samsonova | J. Teichmann |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.0% | 70.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
20.7% | 79.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.0% | 65.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.9% | 27.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Samsonova | hard | 1750 | 30–32 | 62 |
| J. Teichmann | clay | 1710 | 75–49 | 124 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
J. Teichmann leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Teichmann | 2 - 0 |
| W | J. Tjen | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | Xin. Wang | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Keys | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | R. Masarova | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | B. Palicova | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Jorge | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used