TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Pigato vs T. C. Grant (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with L. Pigato favoured at 1.73.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Pigato | T. C. Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.9% | 44.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
28.2% | 71.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.8% | 54.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.6% | 46.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pigato | clay | 1636 | 108–87 | 195 |
| T. C. Grant | clay | 1709 | 50–24 | 74 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 9, 2026.
T. C. Grant leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Rome | clay | T. C. Grant | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Zantedeschi | 0 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Fita Boluda | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Vladson | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Trevisan | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Tan | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Garland | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used