TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Pigato vs L. Bronzetti (Parma on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with L. Pigato favoured at 1.52.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Pigato | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.3% | 35.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.7% | 22.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.3% | 43.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
61.9% | 38.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pigato | clay | 1636 | 108–87 | 195 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 9, 2026.
L. Bronzetti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Parma | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Zantedeschi | 0 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Fita Boluda | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Vladson | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used