TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Noskova vs M. Sakkari (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with L. Noskova favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Noskova | M. Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.8% | 37.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.1% | 18.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.7% | 35.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
69.5% | 30.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.2% | 31.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Noskova | hard | 1892 | 107–53 | 160 |
| M. Sakkari | hard | 1846 | 109–78 | 187 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
M. Sakkari leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 7, 2025 | Adelaide | hard | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 13, 2024 | WTA Doha | hard | L. Noskova | 2 - 1 |
| W | K. Muchova | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Parks | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | H. Dart | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used