TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Sweeny (moneyline) at 4.14 in L. Darderi vs D. Sweeny (US Open on 2026-09-04). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Darderi | D. Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
73.7% | 26.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.3% | 27.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.6% | 25.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.1% | 26.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.1% | 27.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Darderi | hard | 1689 | 52–54 | 106 |
| D. Sweeny | hard | 1600 | 231–138 | 369 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 2, 2026.
L. Darderi leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 5, 2026 | US Open | hard | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 |
| Jan. 11, 2023 | Australian Open | hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All Sept. 4, 2026 results & picks →