TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Bronzetti vs M. Bouzkova (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with M. Bouzkova favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Bronzetti | M. Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.4% | 63.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
19.9% | 80.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.1% | 63.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.8% | 69.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
24.3% | 75.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
| M. Bouzkova | hard | 1747 | 128–86 | 214 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
M. Bouzkova leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 24, 2022 | Guadalajara | hard | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used