TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Siniakova vs L. Boisson (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with K. Siniakova favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Siniakova | L. Boisson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.0% | 68.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
16.5% | 83.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.0% | 61.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.2% | 70.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.8% | 24.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Siniakova | hard | 1822 | 101–77 | 178 |
| L. Boisson | clay | 1739 | 82–39 | 121 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 18, 2026.
K. Siniakova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Rome | clay | K. Siniakova | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | R. Masarova | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | E. Arango | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 0 | May 26, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used