TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Rakhimova vs J. Cristian (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with J. Cristian favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Rakhimova | J. Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.8% | 65.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.3% | 71.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.7% | 48.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
22.0% | 78.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Rakhimova | hard | 1705 | 109–97 | 206 |
| J. Cristian | hard | 1839 | 72–67 | 139 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
K. Rakhimova leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 4, 2025 | Adelaide | hard | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 8, 2021 | Linz | clay | J. Cristian | 2 - 1 |
| W | V. Williams | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Watson | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | O. Selekhmeteva | 1 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | I. Jovic | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 0 - 2 | June 8, 2026 |
| L | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 1 | May 25, 2026 |
| L | V. Mboko | 2 - 1 | May 22, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used