TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Juvan vs M. Uchijima (Parma on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with M. Uchijima favoured at 1.67.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Juvan | M. Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.0% | 62.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
18.6% | 81.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.9% | 45.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.2% | 62.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.2% | 56.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Juvan | hard | 1654 | 60–50 | 110 |
| M. Uchijima | hard | 1671 | 139–105 | 244 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 16, 2026.
K. Juvan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Parma | clay | K. Juvan | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| L | G. Maristany | 0 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Siskova | 2 - 1 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | S. Sierra | 2 - 1 | May 13, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 2 - 1 | May 11, 2026 |
| W | C. Bucsa | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Inglis | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Khan | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used