TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Jacquet vs M. Trungelliti (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with M. Trungelliti favoured at 1.73.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Jacquet | M. Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.7% | 64.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
25.0% | 75.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
27.5% | 72.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.4% | 70.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.2% | 54.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jacquet | clay | 1612 | 85–61 | 146 |
| M. Trungelliti | clay | 1739 | 160–87 | 247 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
M. Trungelliti leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 13, 2026 | Umag | clay | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 0 |
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Trungelliti | 3 - 0 |
| L | G. Diallo | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Blockx | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Merida Aguilar | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | N. Mejia | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used