TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Efremova vs S. Cirstea (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with S. Cirstea favoured at 1.03.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Efremova | S. Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
18.2% | 81.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
17.6% | 82.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
23.7% | 76.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
19.8% | 80.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
6.4% | 93.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Efremova | hard | 1625 | 36–11 | 47 |
| S. Cirstea | hard | 1917 | 94–63 | 157 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Feb. 1, 2026.
S. Cirstea leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Clarke | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | G. S. Popa | 0 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | E. Dotsenko | 0 - 2 | May 31, 2026 |
| L | S. Cirstea | 0 - 2 | May 24, 2026 |
| L | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Birrell | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Raducanu | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Inglis | 2 - 1 | June 9, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used