TennisEdge's AI bot is backing I. Jovic (moneyline) in J. Pegula vs I. Jovic (Wimbledon on 2026-07-05).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Pegula | I. Jovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.6% | 53.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
69.3% | 30.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.4% | 43.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.6% | 53.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.6% | 36.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 7, 2026.
J. Pegula leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 5, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 |
| April 4, 2026 | Charleston | clay | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 18, 2026 | WTA Dubai | hard | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 |
| W | L. Noskova | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 2 - 1 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 1 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 1 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | D. Yastremska | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 7, 2026 |
All July 5, 2026 results & picks →