B. Bencic vs C. Gauff — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · WTA Wimbledon - 1/8-finals · July 5, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing B. Bencic (moneyline) in B. Bencic vs C. Gauff (Wimbledon on 2026-07-05).

Surface grass Odds B. Bencic 2.20 · C. Gauff 1.66

Bot bet

B. Bencic (moneyline) · 2.0u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: B. Bencic · C. Gauff · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method B. Bencic C. Gauff
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
69.1% 30.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
45.2% 54.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
52.3% 47.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
43.0% 57.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
B. Bencic grass1836 26–1137
C. Gauff grass1807 23–1336

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 5, 2026.

Head to head

C. Gauff leads 6–1 over 7 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 5, 2026WimbledongrassC. Gauff2 - 1
March 25, 2026MiamihardC. Gauff2 - 1
Sept. 30, 2025BeijinghardC. Gauff2 - 1
April 28, 2025MadridclayC. Gauff2 - 0
March 12, 2025Indian WellshardB. Bencic2 - 1

Recent form

B. Bencic

L K. Kawa 2 - 0 Oct. 22, 2026
W J. Ostapenko 0 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026
L S. Kartal 2 - 0 Oct. 14, 2026
L A. Li 0 - 2 Oct. 5, 2026
W A. Zakharova 2 - 0 Oct. 3, 2026

C. Gauff

W M. Kostyuk 0 - 2 Nov. 12, 2026
L L. Noskova 0 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
W J. Pegula 2 - 1 Nov. 8, 2026
L E. Mertens 0 - 2 Oct. 7, 2026
W X. Sun 2 - 0 Oct. 5, 2026

All July 5, 2026 results & picks →

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