TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Ostapenko vs E. Seidel (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with J. Ostapenko favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Ostapenko | E. Seidel |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.4% | 40.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.8% | 24.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.1% | 43.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.7% | 36.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.0% | 22.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ostapenko | hard | 1767 | 88–73 | 161 |
| E. Seidel | clay | 1541 | 72–63 | 135 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 23, 2026.
J. Ostapenko leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Ruzic | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | H. Dart | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 1 - 0 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | Z. Sonmez | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Galfi | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Kulikova | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | S. Sierra | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used