TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Munar vs H. Hurkacz (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with H. Hurkacz favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Munar | H. Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.4% | 66.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.0% | 54.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.7% | 59.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.4% | 52.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Munar | clay | 1693 | 115–79 | 194 |
| H. Hurkacz | hard | 1777 | 125–81 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
H. Hurkacz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | H. Hurkacz | 3 - 1 |
| W | R. Hijikata | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Lehecka | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Fearnley | 0 - 3 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | F. Cerundolo | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 3 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Ruud | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Mensik | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used