TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J-L. Struff vs F. Comesana (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with F. Comesana favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J-L. Struff | F. Comesana |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.6% | 51.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.2% | 61.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.5% | 34.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.8% | 49.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.5% | 64.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J-L. Struff | hard | 1666 | 77–88 | 165 |
| F. Comesana | clay | 1706 | 184–101 | 285 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
J-L. Struff leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Rome | clay | J-L. Struff | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Navone | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Donald | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used