TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Duckworth vs G. Diallo (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with G. Diallo favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Duckworth | G. Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.6% | 43.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.5% | 31.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
73.9% | 26.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.3% | 33.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
38.0% | 62.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Duckworth | hard | 1685 | 190–126 | 316 |
| G. Diallo | hard | 1733 | 122–77 | 199 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
J. Duckworth leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Duckworth | 1 - 0 |
| Oct. 15, 2025 | Almaty | hard | J. Duckworth | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 6, 2022 | Montreal | hard | G. Diallo | 2 - 0 |
| W | C. O'Connell | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Mayo | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 1 - 3 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 1 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used