TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in I. Buse vs A. Rublev (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Rublev favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Buse | A. Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.7% | 47.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
A. Rublev leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Rublev | 3 - 1 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | K. Feldbausch | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Brooksby | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Baez | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used