TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in I. Begu vs T. Korpatsch (Bad Homburg on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with T. Korpatsch favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Begu | T. Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
76.4% | 23.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.6% | 60.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
76.4% | 23.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.2% | 53.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Begu | clay | 1726 | 81–36 | 117 |
| T. Korpatsch | clay | 1772 | 122–71 | 193 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 20, 2026.
Level at 2–2 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Bad Homburg | grass | I. Begu | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 6, 2024 | Hamburg | clay | T. Korpatsch | 1 - 0 |
| Aug. 29, 2023 | WTA US Open | hard | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 0 |
| July 12, 2022 | Lausanne | clay | I. Begu | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Swan | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | V. Williams | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Bondar | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Sherif | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Stusek | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used