TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Parry vs A. Ito (Bad Homburg on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with D. Parry favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Parry | A. Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
87.9% | 12.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.0% | 50.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.2% | 34.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
87.9% | 12.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.0% | 25.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
D. Parry leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Bad Homburg | grass | D. Parry | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Day | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | K. Sebov | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | A. Sharma | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used